After holding steady throughout 2024, interest rates are poised for potential cuts, with some economists predicting reductions as early as February or May, depending on inflation and economic conditions.
Lower borrowing costs could make home loans more affordable, encouraging increased activity in the property market. However, rising demand could eventually push prices higher later in the year. Keeping an eye on Reserve Bank of Australia decisions will be crucial for buyers looking to secure favourable loan terms before the market responds to this increased activity.
Australia’s rental market remains tight, with national vacancy rates at a low 1.8%, according to CoreLogic’s November report. As rents continue to climb, many tenants are reconsidering their long-term strategies, finding that buying a home could offer greater stability and, in some cases, lower monthly costs compared to renting.
This trend underscores the importance of acting decisively if buying is part of your 2025 plans, as more renters transitioning to homeownership may increase competition in the housing market.
The government has lowered the 2025 permanent Migration Program cap to 185,000 for 2024–25, down from 190,000 the previous year. This change is expected to ease housing demand.
Tim Lawless, CoreLogic’s Head of Research, noted, “A further reduction in overseas migration will see less aggregate housing demand, especially across the rental sector where rental growth is already flattening out.” Over time, reduced migration could also lower demand for home purchases, potentially creating a less competitive market in some areas.
For buyers, this could mean greater opportunities in regions previously dominated by high rental demand or competitive first-home buyer markets.
In 2025, buyers may find the property market offering more options, as the supply of homes gradually increases. The federal government’s Housing Accord, targeting the delivery of 1.2 million new homes, is part of a broader effort to tackle housing shortages. While high construction costs and labour shortages remain challenges, a modest recovery in building approvals suggests progress is underway.
CoreLogic notes, “dwelling approvals look to have moved through a low point, and we could see more announcements from federal and state governments aimed at supporting residential construction activity.”
With a federal election anticipated sometime in the next four months, housing affordability is likely to be a key issue. Existing initiatives, such as the Home Guarantee Scheme and Help to Buy, could be supplemented with new policies, further improving opportunities for homebuyers.
In 2024, many Australians found housing affordability stretched due to high property prices and tighter lending conditions. However, 2025 may bring a turning point.
Projected income growth is expected to outpace housing values growth and potential interest rate reductions could make saving for a deposit and securing a loan more achievable. These improving conditions provide buyers with an encouraging environment to plan their next move, whether entering the market for the first time or upgrading to a new home.
By keeping a close eye on these trends and understanding how they affect your local market, you can position yourself to take advantage of these changes in 2025.
Buying a home is one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll make, but you don’t have to do it alone. As your mortgage broker, I can help you understand your borrowing power, guide you through pre-approval, and ensure you’re ready to act when the right opportunity comes along.
Let’s start planning your next move – contact me today to get started!